Tennis is one of the most exciting sports to bet on. Fast-paced action, individual performances, and year-round tournaments make it a favourite for punters. But before placing a wager, it's crucial to understand how tennis betting odds work.
Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, decoding the odds can turn casual bets into smart ones. Let's dive into tennis betting odds and break them down in the simplest way possible.
What Are Tennis Betting Odds?
Tennis betting odds represent the probability of a certain outcome and the payout you'll receive if your prediction is correct. Odds tell you how much money you can win compared to the amount you stake.
They also help you judge which player is favoured to win a match. In most sportsbooks, odds are shown in three major formats: decimal, fractional, and moneyline.
Understanding Decimal Odds
Decimal odds are the most popular format in Europe, Canada, Australia, and on online betting platform. They're straightforward to read.
For example, if Rafael Nadal has odds of 1.80 and you bet ₹1,000, your total return will be ₹1,800 (₹1,000 x 1.80). That includes your original stake and ₹800 profit.
Lower decimal odds mean the player is the favourite. Higher odds indicate an underdog with a lower chance of winning but a higher payout.
Reading Fractional Odds
Fractional odds are most common in the UK. They look like this: 5/2, 3/1, or 7/4. The number on the left shows the profit, while the number on the right is your stake.
For instance, if Novak Djokovic has odds of 5/2, you'll earn ₹5 profit for every ₹2 staked. So, a ₹2,000 bet would win you ₹5,000 profit plus your original ₹2,000 stake.
These odds can be tricky at first, but become easy once you grasp the basic concept.
Understanding Moneyline Odds
Moneyline odds are used mainly in the US and can be either positive or negative. A minus sign (-) indicates the favourite, while a plus sign (+) signals the underdog.
For example, if Roger Federer has odds of -150, you need to bet ₹150 to win ₹100. If his opponent has +200 odds, you win ₹200 by betting ₹100.
This format clearly shows the risk and reward ratio, making it useful for experienced bettors who like to compare favourites and longshots.
Favourite vs. Underdog
Odds are shaped based on players' form, ranking, surface preference, and head-to-head records. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favourite. The one with higher odds is the underdog.
Backing a favourite usually brings smaller wins but higher chances of success. Betting on an underdog can bring huge returns, but it carries more risk.
Smart bettors often look for value bets—when an underdog has better chances than the odds suggest.
Example of Tennis Betting Odds
Let's say there's a match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev. The odds look like this:
Alcaraz - 1.60
Medvedev - 2.40
This means Alcaraz is the favourite. A ₹1,000 bet on him returns ₹1,600. But if you bet ₹1,000 on Medvedev and he wins, you get ₹2,400.
By analysing form, court surface (like clay or hard court), and recent injuries, you can decide which bet offers better value.
Types of Tennis Bets
There's more to tennis betting than just picking a winner. Understanding the different types of bets helps you use odds smartly.
Match Winner
This is the simplest form. You bet on who will win the match, based on the odds provided for each player.
Set Betting
Here, you bet on the exact scoreline in sets, like 2-0 or 2-1. The odds are usually higher because it's harder to predict.
Total Games
You bet on how many total games will be played in the match. The bookie sets a line (e.g., 21.5), and you bet on over or under that total.
Handicap Betting
In this bet, one player gets a virtual advantage or disadvantage. For example, a -2.5 handicap on the favourite means they must win by 3 more games than their opponent.
In-Play Betting
You can place bets during a live match. Odds change in real-time based on what's happening, so quick thinking and analysis matter a lot here.
Odds and Probability
Every odd reflects a probability. For example, decimal odds of 2.00 mean a 50% chance (1 ÷ 2.00 = 0.50 or 50%).
Lower odds like 1.50 mean a higher chance of winning (1 ÷ 1.50 = 66.67%). Higher odds like 3.00, mean a 33.33% chance.
If your analysis suggests the real chance is higher than the odds suggest, that's a value bet. Identifying value is the key to long-term success in betting.
Using Odds Comparison Sites
Different bookmakers offer slightly different odds. Using odds comparison websites helps you find the best value for the same bet.
Even small differences can lead to bigger profits in the long run, especially if you bet regularly or with large amounts.
Smart bettors always hunt for the best odds across platforms before locking in their bets.
Tips to Read and Use Odds Wisely
Start with one format (preferably decimal) and master it. Then learn from others for flexibility. Always analyse recent form, injury status, and playing surface.
Avoid emotional betting. Let odds and data guide your choices. Don't chase losses. Use a budget, and stick to it.
Betting is exciting, but discipline and smart reading of odds separate the winners from the rest.
Final Thoughts
Reading tennis betting odds may seem confusing at first, but once you break them down, they're surprisingly logical. Understanding the favourite vs. underdog concept and converting odds to probability helps you make smarter bets.
So next time you're watching a Grand Slam or ATP event, pull out your sportsbook, check the odds, and bet with confidence. Knowledge is your biggest advantage in tennis betting.